XI The Coming Political Mega Crisis
As of the end of July 2026, only 37% of likely voters approve of Trump. As more people lose their jobs in the coming months and as truth of Iran war comes out due to the end of the Strategic Petroleum Reserve and huge increases in the price of gas and food, Trump’s approval rating is likely to get much worse:
The most recent poll from American Research Group surveyed 1,100 adults and found a 30% approval rating for Trump and a 67% disapproval rating, a net approval rating of -37 percentage points.
The most recent poll from Pew Research Center surveyed 3,554 adults and found a 34% approval rating for Trump and a 64% disapproval rating, a net approval rating of -30 percentage points.
It is likely that Democrats will win the 2026 General Election
As of July 31, 2026, Democrats lead the 2026 generic congressional ballot by an average of 6.7%, with aggregate polling from July 31, 2026, showing Democratic support at 48% compared to 41.3% for Republicans.
The following graph shows that the gap in support for the two parties is getting wider all the time:
American voters, and particularly Independent swing voters (the ones who decide all elections), have shown a consistent tendency to vote based on whether the economy was getting better or worse. As the economy collapses and inflation increases in coming months, it is likely that this gap will grow even wider – leading to a Democratic takeover of the House of Representatives in the 2026 Fall election.
It is likely that the Democrats will also take over the Senate
The only real question is whether the Democrats will take over the Senate. To do this, they will need to win 4 Senate seats held by Republicans. Currently, the Senate races in Alaska, Iowa, Maine and Texas are listed as “Toss Up.” However, given that Republicans will be blamed for the coming economic disaster, it is likely that Democrats will win all four of these races this Fall. Here is the current Trend Line for the Democrats to take control of the Senate:
What about the Elon Musk X Factor?
On July 30, 2026 Elon Musk donated $120 million dollars to Republican candidates to tip elections in key swing district races. This includes $1 million dollar checks in 8 US Senate races and more than 100 Congressional District races – including the “swing” Third CD in SW Washington. The Senate races include Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Ohio, North Carolina, Georgia and Texas.
In 2024, Musk spent more than $260 million to elect Trump, making him the largest political donor in history. However, the economy determines how most Independent voters vote. Money may matter in a few close swing districts. But once the SPR runs dry, the gas and food prices will rise so high and so quick that these Independent voters will notice – which is why the Democrats are likely to win the 2026 election no matter how much money Musk spends. If the Democrats take over both the House and the Senate, we can expect 2027 to be taken up with Trump impeachment hearings. Unfortunately, impeaching Trump will do nothing to improve the economy. It is therefore likely that the economy will continue its rapid downward spiral – possibly even worse than the 1929 crash that led to the Great Depression.
Americans losing trust in both major political parties
Americans have never been more politically divided than they are today. Membership in the two major political parties is at an all time low. A Gallup 2025 poll found that a 45% of voters identified as Independent while only 27% identified as Republicans, and 27% identified as Democrats.
A record number of Americans now call themselves Independents – largely because they have concluded that neither of the major political parties represents them and their family. As if this was not bad enough, a 2026 Gallup poll found that a record 86% of Americans disapprove of Congress:
Meanwhile, the leaders of both major political parties spend all of their time attacking the other party rather than working together to solve problems:
Americans lack of trust in the corporate controlled political parties is matched by an equal lack of trust in the corrupt corporate media. The latest Gallup poll on whether the mass media reports the news “fully, accurately and fairly” found that two out of three Americans have either very little trust or no trust at all!
It is time to seek out and promote Independent media sources who have the wisdom to learn the truth and the courage to tell the truth.